Winning? We talking about practice!

I think everyone has pretty much decided this election is gonna be on par with 2000 and 2004…only the select few get to even decide who wins. I’m pretty sure about 80% of the country doesn’t even need to vote. But for the lucky few, congratulations, you’re a swing state! Your prize: a lot of TV ads and visits and media coverage. Have fun with that.


Purple Strategies polled some of the main swing states for 2012 and they tell us….nothing. Nothing that we didn’t already know. The race is close. Unsurprisingly close. It’s like a 1-1 ballgame and we are about to hit the 7th inning stretch. Keeping up with the metaphors, someone will screw up “Take Me Out to the Ballgame” or “God Bless America” during the stretch (Party Conventions) and the other will take the lead. But for now…. (with Swing State Scale too!)

  • Ohio…the battlegrounds of battlegrounds. If 2004 wasn’t fun enough for you Buckeye residents, you get to do it 8 years later! Romney-Ryan is up 46-44 after Obama/Biden were up 48-45 last month (-5 Obama). On the Swing State Scale: Migraine…it’ll be like this for a while
  • Virginia…the Johnny-come-Lately of battlegrounds. R/R up 48-45, a gain of +1 since July. On the Swing State Scale: Brain Tumor…the Senate race will make this one the most watched in the country
  • Colorado…also a relatively new swing state. O/B up 49-46, +2 since July. On the Swing State Scale: Tension Headache…should go away by the end of the conventions
  • Florida…don’t we know this one well. Party like it’s 2000! R/R up 48-47, -2 for Romney since July. Swing State Scale: Brain Tumor…the epicenter of Mediscare and a very watched Senate race


Consider this “Wednesday Polling Update.” Wednesdays will be from now on my President Prediction Days. I’ll categorize Solid O, Leans O, Tossup, Leans R, Solid R and provide maps as well. I’ll do the Senate on Thursday (a lot of fun for me, trust me).

So without further ado…

Solid O: Washington, Oregon, California, Minnesota, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, Vermont, Massachusetts, Maine, Connecticut, D.C., Hawaii, Maryland, Rhode Island (212)

Leans O: New Mexico, Michigan (21)

Tossup: Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, New Hampshire (95)

Leans R: Arizona, Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina (47)

Solid R: Alaska, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia (159)

Today’s Prediction: Romney/Ryan 286, Obama/Biden 252 (Linky for the map)

Where the tossups went:

  • Colorado, Nevada to Obama
  • Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, New Hampshire to Romney


Tune in tomorrow for Senate predictions


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