So everyone is going to blather on about how no GOP candidate has won the White House without Ohio. But, there exists a path for Romney…
Obama gains Nevada, New Hampshire (247)
Romney gains Colorado, North Carolina, Florida, Virginia (257)
That would put the election squarely on three battleground states – Wisconsin (10), Iowa (6), Ohio (18). Romney can take Ohio and win (277) or he can take Wisconsin and Iowa and win (273).
Wisconsin looks to be closing, Ohio still looks to be within the margin of error, and Iowa is within the margin of error. A lot of money is going to pour into these three states.
The real battleground is the Rust Belt.