Is the Tide Actually Turning?

It sure seems so. Poll after poll show Romney leading nationally, gaining in the swing states. Obama is treading water, the Dems seem to be in disarray, and there’s a rumored campaign shake up.

Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP has Romney up 2 nationally, 49-47. This is in contrast to Obama up 49-45 last time.

Rasmussen, 48-48. Romney up in the swing state poll.

Siena has Pennsylvania a 3 point race with a lot of undecideds (which is odd less than a month out)…

Gallup has Obama up 5 in the tracker, but they are switching to likely voters today. Expect a dead heat or small Romney lead. UPDATE: 49-46 Obama among RV; 49-47 Romney among LV.

UPDATE: More polls!

  • Colorado: 50-46 Romney (ARG)
  • North Carolina: 50-41 Romney (Gravis)
  • Ohio: Romney 48-47 Romney (ARG); 45-44 Obama (Survey USA)
  • Nevada: 47-47 (Ras)….that’s a biggie, if Romney can take Nevada, he has that many more options to 270

I’m started to become less worried about the Presidency and more worried about the Senate…

  • Ras has McMahon trailing 46-51, but tied with leaners.
  • Brown and Warren race is still too close to see anything, poll yesterday had Warren +5 and today another had Brown +3.
  • North Dakota still looks to be a dead heat…Berg is underperforming Romney by a lot.
  • Virginia is going to go down the last vote, that’s a given.

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