Category Archives: 2020

Comparing the Benches

So with the Republican National Conference over and the Democratic National Convention starting, one only has to look at the speakers to see who the rising stars (“the benches”) are for each party. Let’s put them in a depth chart

Republicans:

  • First String: VA Gov. Bob McDonnell; WI Gov. Scott Walker; SC Gov. Nikki Haley; NJ Gov. Chris Christie; LA Gov. Bobby Jindal; SD Sen. John Thune; Former Sec. of State Condoleezza Rice; WI  Rep. Paul Ryan; FL Sen. Marco Rubio
  • Second String: NH Sen. Kelly Ayotte; OK Gov. Mary Fallin; NV Gov. Brian Sandoval; KY Sen. Rand Paul; OH Sen. Rob Portman; PR Gov. Luis Fortuño; NM Gov. Susana Martinez; Former FL Gov. Jeb Bush; TX Sen. Ted Cruz
  • Third String: ND Sen. John Hoeven; TN Rep. Marsha Blackburn; WA Rep. Cathy McMorris-Rodgers; Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love; OH Gov. John Kasich; Former MN Gov. Tim Pawlenty

Democrats

  • First String: CO Gov. John Hickenlooper; Former VA Gov. Tim Kaine; MD Gov. Martin O’Malley; Secretary of State Hillary Clinton; MT Gov. Brian Schweitzer; MA Senate Candidate Elizabeth Warren
  • Second String: Newark Mayor Corey Booker; San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro; Chicago Mayor Rahm Emmanuel; Charlotte Mayor Anthony Foxx; NC Sen. Kay Hagan; Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter; Vice President Joe Biden; MN Senator Amy Klobuchar; Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Vilagarossa
  • Third String: WI Senate Candidate Tammy Baldwin; House of Representatives Candidate Joaquin Castro; MA Gov. Deval Patrick; Former OH Gov. Ted Strickland; Houston Mayor Annisse Parker
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The Condi-nator

So last night was Condi Rice’s national political coming-out party (don’t start with the jokes).

Her speech was impassioned, intelligent, and she did all that without a teleprompter. She has shown to be a capable leader with an innovative vision for this county.

So what is her path from here? Two-fold, in my opinion: (see also: 10 Reasons Condi Should Run for Governor)

1. She takes a Cabinet position in a Romney administration (my preference: Education), serves through Romney’s first term, and then runs against her “good friend” Barbara Boxer in 2016, setting herself up for the 2020/24 nomination

2. She runs for Governor of California in 2014, serves a term or two, and sets herself up for 2020/24.

If Romney loses, she could easily be the frontrunner for the 2016 nod, and at the least, the top of the shortlist for VP.

She has proven an ability to be LOVED by the GOP grassroots and rise beyond her association with the Bush administration. How, I don’t know? But she is capable.

With Condoleezza Rice’s speech last night generating almost as much interest as Paul Ryan’s, former California Republican Party Chairman Ron Nehring seizes the opportunity to make the case for a gubernatorial run in 2014:

·  She has the respect of the Republican volunteer and donor communities.  The donors would step up, and it would be easy to fill the headquarters and cover the precincts.

·  Her public speaking skills are powerful, as demonstrated by her speech to the Convention.

·  Her personal story is compelling, growing up in segregated Birmingham, Alabama and rising to hold one of the most critical posts in our government.

·  In academia and government service, her background denies the Democrats their favorite lines of attack that were most effectively used against Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina in 2010.  Yet, she has management experience as Stanford’s Provost in the 1990’s, turning a $20 million deficit into a surplus in two years. …

·  Barbara Boxer attacked Rice in relation to her role in the war in Iraq.  The occasional hits she’s taken from the right are exclusively in the area of foreign policy – not particularly relevant in the role of Governor.

California Republicans have seen their party decline to the point of irrelevance in recent years and it may be that they need a wildly outside-the-box figure — Rice or someone else — to revive their fortunes.

They Are Woman, Hear Them Roar

17 out of 100. 17%. That’s the percentage of women in the United States Senate. Women make up 50.8% of this country, but just 17% of the body that represents each state. Puzzling. I promise, no kitchen jokes or driving jokes.

But is that about to change? Politico reported that female Senate candidates this cycle are raking up money, to the tune of $135 million!! There are currently 17 female US Senators serving today:

  • Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), serving until 2016
  • Dianne Feinstein (D-California), up for re-election this year
  • Barbara Boxer (D-California), serving until 2016
  • Mary Landrieu (D-Louisiana), serving until 2014
  • Olympia Snowe (R-Maine), retiring at the end of this year
  • Susan Collins (R-Maine), serving until 2014
  • Barbara Mikulski (D-Maryland), serving until 2016
  • Debbie Stabenow (D-Michigan), up for re-election this year
  • Amy Klobuchar (D-Minnesota), up for re-election this year
  • Claire McCaskill (D-Missouri), up for re-election this year
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D-New Hampshire), serving until 2014
  • Kelly Ayotte (R-New Hampshire), serving until 2016
  • Kirsten Gillibrand (D-New York), up for re-election this year
  • Kay Hagan (D-North Carolina), serving until 2014
  • Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-Texas), retiring at end of this year
  • Patty Murray (D-Washington), serving until 2016
  • Maria Cantwell (D-Washington), up for re-election this year

Until 2013, California, New Hampshire, Maine, and Washington are the only states with two current female Senators. Of the above, Feinstein, Stabenow, Klobuchar, Gillibrand, and Cantwell are locks for re-election, setting the minimum number of female Senators in 2013 at 14. Let’s look at where they can make gains this cycle:

  • Massachusetts: Elizabeth Warren is a formidable opponent. She has amassed nearly a $25 million war chest thus far. Beloved my the liberal grassroots.
  • Wisconsin: U.S. Rep Tammy Baldwin has raised nearly $7 million for her campaign. She would become the first openly-gay U.S. Senator if she was to win.
  • Nevada: U.S. Rep Shelley Berkley has raised almost $7 million as well, putting her on even-footing with her opponent.
  • New York: Attorney Wendy E. Long is running against Kirsten Gillibrand (one of three female-on-female battles)
  • California: Autism activist Elizabeth Emken is running against Sen. Feinstein but has failed to reach $1 million in funds, despite Feinstein losing $4.5 million stolen by her former treasurer
  • Maine: State Sen. Cynthia Dill is running to replace Olympia Snowe but has failed to gain any traction behind Independent former Gov. Angus King
  • North Dakota: State AG Heidi Heitkamp is running a strong campaign in a strong GOP state in a Republican year. She is one to watch. $1.8 million in a cheap media market.
  • Hawaii: Both U.S. Rep Maze Hirono and former Gov. Linda Lingle are running in this open seat. Give or take, each candidate has raised about $4 million on the islands.
  • New Mexico: the GOP’s strongest female candidate, former U.S. Rep Heather Wilson, has also raised about $4 million and is running competitively in this open seat.
  • Connecticut: 2010 candidate Linda McMahon is once again running in this open-seat (again) and after pouring $50 million (!!!!) into her last campaign, she has $14 million right now (….with a $12 million loan)

If you ask me (and you did, because you’re still reading), I think more female Senators and U.S. Representatives is extremely good for this country. Female legislators tend to be less interested in partisan combat, more likely to cross the aisle, and bring a fresh perspective to Congress, often as leaders of households. Again, no jokes.

Oh and how many female Senators will there be in 2013? 16 is this man’s guess.

Those who know me know I supported Hillary Clinton in 2008 and Michele Bachmann in 2012. It is time for a woman to serve as President. Who will be the first female President, you ask me? (Which again, you did!) Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire. In 2020.

 

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