Category Archives: News

Post-Debate Breakdown (Like the One Joe Biden Had)

Good Lord, last night was a mess. Disrespectful, catty, and unrestrained. And that was just Martha Radditz (BAZINGA!)

Short summary of the debate: Proverbs 29:9 “If a wise man has an argument with a fool,
the fool only rages and laughs, and there is no quiet.”

But seriously, my longer breakdown of the debate:

  • Biden was a mess…the first 75 minutes, he was angry, disrespectful and smug. Smirking, laughing, rolling his eyes, interrupting, and just plain rude. His last 25 minutes were better – he calmed down, he got emotion and level with this audience, but still…his overall tone was one that turned off a lot of undecideds, especially women.
  • Paul Ryan held his own, especially during taxes and the economy; however, Radditz decided the focus needed to be more foreign policy than domestic policy — why, I don’t know? He handled Biden’s smugness with class, he was calm and respectful, measured and poised, and did well. He was nervous at the beginning, got better as he went along, and ended with an excellent emotional appeal to the audience.
  • Biden’s best moment: arguing for the middle class. His worst: contradicting the State Department and saying the Benghazi Embassy never asked for more security
  • Ryan’s best moment: defending his and Romney’s plans for Medicare. His worst: Iraq and Afghanistan answers.
  • Biden’s best line: “Stop talking about how you care about people. Show me something.” Solid.
    Second best line: “Their ideas are old, their ideas are bad.” Equally solid.
  • Biden worst line: “Oh, now you’re Jack Kennedy?” Awkward delivery.
    Second worst line: “War should always be the last resort.” Definitely not last.
  • Ryan’s best line: “With respect to that quote, I think the vice president very well knows that sometimes the words don’t come out of your mouth the right way.” Got laughs.
    Second best line: “Mr. Vice President, I know you’re under a lot of duress to make up for lost ground, but I think people would be better served if we don’t keep interrupting each other.” Adult in the room.
  • Ryan’s worst line: “Mitt Romney’s a car guy.” Awkward.
    Second worst line: “And then I would say, you have a president who ran for president four years ago promising hope and change, who has now turned his campaign into attack, blame and defame.” Pointless.
  • It was a draw on substance; on professionalism, Ryan won by a landslide; on energy, Biden romped. CBS says Biden won by nearly 20 points; CNN says Ryan won by 4 points and was more likeable by 10 points.
  • Watching the CNN undecideds, men responded well to Biden (forceful, aggressive defense of the middle class); women responded well to Ryan (polite, gentle tone and measured responses).
  • This debate will do nothing to move the needle of this race. It won’t sustain the Romney surge and it won’t create an Obama resurge. There won’t be enough time to poll in the field to measure the impact of the debate as Romney and Obama go back on stage Tuesday night.

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First Presidential Debate = BINGO!

Get your checklist out for tonight. The first presidential debate will take place tonight, in Colorado, and as usual, we can play BINGO with buzzwords:

big government

bipartisan

Reagan

Bush

Supreme Court

abortion

debt ceiling

fiscal cliff

bailout

energy independencd

Social Security

Medicare

jobs

unemployment

middle class

(insert foreign country)

(Insert foreign leader)

leading from behind

Wall Street

(insert random US cabinet department)

fiscal cliff

troops

transparency

Obamacare/Affordable Care Act/Romneycare

99% and/or 47%

“you didn’t build that”

bin Laden

Fast and Furious

(insert swing state)

I would be shocked – hell, I might drop dead – if 90% of those don’t show up tonight.

Morning Dump, August 10th

  • Linda McMahon files complaint against Chris Murphy for a private equity loan he got for a home. It won’t lead to legal troubles, but it will lead to some press trouble.
  • Obama edged Romney in fundraising: $114m to $111.6m. First time in a few months that has happened, though this is Romney’s highest fundraising month to date AND third straight $100m month. Convention months are easy for fundraising.
  • Senator Dianne Feinstein walks out of interview when challenged to debate her opponent, Autism activist Elizabeth Emken. Really unacceptable not to debate your opponent. Perhaps some good press for Emken
  • Rand Paul: expand the GOP tent and pick up Libertarians. YES PLEASE! Libertarians would help the party HUGELY in the Northeast (New Hampshire, Maine, Connecticut) and the West (Nevada, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico).

Waking up on Wednesday, August 29th

So we wake up today, on Wednesday, and the world continue to turn. Good to note.

I’m gonna pack most of my usual posting’s today into one post to save myself time because I have an action-filled afternoon once again.

Dump

  • Juan Williams of Fox News calls Ann Romney a “corporate wife.” Must have missed her speech, because, to me, the wrong Romney is running. I have no idea what a corporate wife is, but it is not Ann Romney.
  • Condi Rice is working on a political comeback, but she does not anticipate a role in a Romney administration. Perhaps elected office in California? *Cough* run against Babs Boxer in 2016 *cough*
  • Clint Eastwood is heading to the RNC on Thursday. Surprise guest?
  • Thoughts and prayers go out to the people of New Orleans and the rest of Louisiana. I have friends in Baton Rouge and the suburbs of New Orleans.

Presidential Predictions – Wed, 8/29

  • No real news on this front. It continues to remain close with the majority of swing states in a dead heat. Last week’s prediction was: Romney 280, Obama 258. That will continue this week. Need to see polling post-both-conventions.
  • Gallup had Romney +2 before the convention. In their historical analysis, nearly every election cycle, the leader pre-conventions was the winner of the actual election. Just a thought.

And on a completely unrelated note, the first day of college football starts tomorrow!!!!!

Later tonight, look for my quick-thoughts on the Convention, Day 2 and tomorrow, videos and Senate predictions.

Mid-Morning Dump, August 28th

Not so much a mid-morning dump as usual, just some things to ponder.

  • Republican National Convention starts today. There’s a surprise speaker on Thursday…The Boss?! Roll call for Pres/VP is tonight, along with Kelly Ayotte, Mary Fallin, Bob McDonnell, Scott Walker, Nikki Haley, Ann Romney, and Chris Christie.
  • Second CT Senate poll (Q-poll) shows the same as Rasmussen…49-46 Linda McMahon over Chris Murphy. Second time around?
  • CBS poll: Obama 46-45 over Romney amongst registered voters; ABC had it 47/46 Romney yesterday; 7-day Gallup, Romney +1; 3-day Rasmussen Obama +2
  • New Orleans is gonna be hammered again…by Isaac this time. Predicted to hit 7 years, to the day, after Katrina.

That’s about it. Doing this all day:

The Morning Dump, August 23rd

So I’ve spent all morning thinking it was the 22nd. TGIF, tomorrow…TO THE DUMP! (Abbreviated today)

World News

  • Rumors of war within Los Zetas. Man, that shouldn’t make Mexico any less violent, corrupt, or prone to mass murders that spill over into the American Southwest…

U.S. News

Texas News

Akin Watch: Day 3

  • Rasmussen teased a poll showing Claire McCaskill up 10 points on Akin. Private sources have said he’d drop out if he’s down 5+ points…

 

 

The Problem With Politics

The problem with politics is plain and simple: too few people have all the power.

In the case I’m talking now, in the Texas Democratic Primary on May 29th, Lloyd Wayne Oliver defeated party favorite Zack Ferrttita for the right to be the Democratic nominee for Harris County District Attorney. And not by a squeaker, it was a couple percentage points of a win.

Fast forward nearly three months later. Former Harris County Democratic Party (HCDP) chair Gerald Birnberg alleges Mr. Oliver “endorsed and supported” current District Attorney Patricia Lykos (R) in her bid to be renominated (which she lost, by a significant margin), based on statements he made following the primary.

In his statement responding to the complaint, Mr. Oliver stated that he would not have endorsed Ms. Lykos because she had lost and was no longer a candidate. The statements were made beginning the day after the primary was over in an attempt to woo some of her supporters. Also in the statement, Mr. Oliver believed that the Texas Democratic Party Rules (TDPR) do not explicitly apply to elected candidates and the attempt to remove him from the ballot would not stand. In conjunction, a representative from the Texas Secretary of State’s Office informed Mr. Oliver that such a thing would not be possible. Believing he had covered the ground, Mr. Oliver sent the statement to Chairman of the HCDP Lane Lewis.

Today, on August 22nd, Mr. Oliver received Mr. Lewis’ answer: his statement did not adequately defend the charges and he would not be removed from the ballot and the decision would be appealed to the TDP Chairman. In addition, for the first time, Mr. Lewis explained that the HCDP had decided to leave vacant the ballot line for Harris County District Attorney. Regardless of the TDP Chairman’s decision, HCDP was not going to run a candidate in November.

This is a clear violation of election laws and a violation of the people of Harris County’s civil rights. The HCDP is attempting to remove a candidate from the nomination of office because their candidate didn’t win. If this was possible, it would happen all the time. There is no vehicle for removing a candidate from elected nomination, barring not meeting age or residency requirements or dying. Election attorneys and judges are salivating at the chance to win this slam-dunk of a case.

Local news and national media have gotten a whiff of this story. The shit is about to hit the fan. The HCDP and the TDP have effectively given this election to Mr. Oliver. Voters love an underdog, especially now that local and national media are portraying him as a victim.

A victim of party bosses, personal vendettas, and he is the defender of 30,000 citizen’s civil rights. And more. By not putting up a candidate for the highest partisan office in the county on the ballot in 2012, the citizens are being deprived of being able to cast a choice and make their voice heard.

Stand for the right kinds of politics. Help Lloyd make his voice heard.

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