Category Archives: Wisconsin Senate

Jump Ball in Wisky

Marquette University Law School out with their newest poll of Presidential and Senate preferences in Wisconsin.

  • Obama leads Romney 49-48, within the MOE of 4.9%. Before the first debate, Obama led 53-42%. 10 point swing for Romney. Change mostly among indies.
  • Obama job approval is 48/48.
  • Obama favorability is 52/48.
  • Romney favorability is 46/48.
  • 49% favorability for Ryan in his home state.
  • Gender gap: Obama was up 25 with women, now 4 points. 21 point swing towards Romney.

As for the Senate race, Thompson leads Baldwin 46-45%. Last month was Baldwin up 4 points on Tommy. Her favorability: 32/47%. Was 40/40 last month. Thompson at 37/50, basically unchanged. Voters who see Baldwin as “too liberal” nearing 50% before Crossroads/TT ad blitz.

10 electoral votes and a valuable Senate seat completely at a tossup.

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The Lucky Senate 7

Crossroads is up with ads in SEVEN Senate races. Big money drop.

Maine – Summers (R), King (I), Dill (D) – Tossup/Tilt I

Indiana – Murdock (R), Donnelly (D) – Lean R

Montana – Rehberg (R), Tester (D) – Tossup/Lean R

Nevada – Heller (R), Berkley (D) – Tossup/Lean R

North Dakota – Berg (R), Heitkamp (D) – Tossup

Virginia – Allen (R), Kaine (D) – Tossup

Wisconsin – Thompson (R), Baldwin (D) – Tossup

TO BE RELEASED TOMORROW

Every single one of these seven races is a tossup or lean R type race. Seven states, seven races, $5 million in ads.

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