Tag Archives: election-2012

The Whole Truth and Nothing But the Truth

Ok, let’s stop making a big deal over nothing. Romney told the truth and yes, good for him, because few politicians are willing to tell you the truth.

What did he do?

1. Romney said, in a closed-door, private fundraiser, that 47% of Americans pay no income tax/believe they are victims. and he can never convince them that they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives. How is this wrong?

According to the Tax Policy Center, 46.4% of Americans pay zero or negative income taxes. According to the Census Bureau, 49% of Americans live in households that receives entitlements through Medicare, Medicaid, housing assistance, or food stamps.

So he’s not wrong. 47% of Americans don’t pay income tax…and he lowballed the amount on entitlements by 2%.  This is not going to lose the election for Romney. He’s telling you the truth, 47% of Americans are not going to vote for him because he wants to get them off government assistance by lifting them up, something all Americans should strive to do for their fellow men.

2. Romney says peace between Israelis and Palestinians is almost unthinkable, because Palestinians have no interest whatsoever in establishing peace, and that pathway to peace is almost unthinkable to accomplish.

That’s true. Romney (and I, and many others) believe in a two-state solution for Israelis and Palestinians. But Palestinians have a long habit of saying one thing to us and the Israelis in English and turning around and saying something else to everyone else, since the end of the Clinton days.

All we bother doing is kicking the can down the road, through peace conferences and bi-lateral talks and summits, that go nowhere. No one has really taken an active role in the two-state solution and no one cared enough like Condoleezza Rice and President Bush. Until the Palestinians are willing to negotiate, it won’t happen.

So there you have it…Romney told the truth. Is that such a bad thing nowadays?

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Akin for Control of the Senate

So, maybe the news isn’t all bad for Republican control of the Senate? Let’s go straight to predictions and explanations!

  • Arizona: No change from last week. MODERATE GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • California: No change from last week. I’m excited to see Emken go on CNN Monday morning. STRONG GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • Connecticut: This one has moved into a tossup. A new poll had McMahon up 49-46 and Connecticut looks a lot less friendly to Obama. Could a Republican upset happen here? Until I see another poll tell me otherwise, I say yes. TOSSUP/GOP PICKUP
  • Delaware: No change. STRONG DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Florida: No change. I still think the way Florida goes in November decides the winner between Nelson and Mack. TOSSUP/GOP PICKUP
  • Hawaii: No change yet. Hirono and Lingle are going to debate 8 times between now and November. Lots of room for change. MODERATE DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Indiana: Still not a lot of polling, so no change. WEAK GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • Maine:No change. Still not a lot of polling and King has still not declared a caucus yet. MODERATE DEM LEAN/DEM PICKUP
  • Maryland: No change. STRONG DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Massachusetts: A PPP poll had Brown up 5 points yesterday. Looking like Brown’s race to lose.  TOSSUP/HOLD
  • Michigan: Two new polls have  given Hoekstra a lead and another Stabenow in the low single-digits. Romney’s coattails could make this an upset. TOSSUP/HOLD
  • Minnesota: No change. STRONG DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Mississippi: Incumbent: No change. STRONG GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • Missouri: Call it a tossup now. Actually, as long as Akin is the nominee, McCaskill will win. Weak Dem lean with the chance to jump back to GOP with a new nominee. WEAK DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Montana: Montana is looking RED as RED can be this year. Moving this to GOP lean. WEAK GOP LEAN/GOP PICKUP
  • Nebraska: No change. STRONG GOP LEAN/GOP PICKUP
  • Nevada: No change. MODERATE GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • New Jersey: No change. MODERATE DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • New Mexico: No change yet. TOSSUP/HOLD
  • New York: No change. STRONG DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • North Dakota: No change. MODERATE GOP LEAN/GOP PICKUP
  • Ohio: No change. WEAK DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Pennsylvania: No change. STRONG DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Rhode Island: No change. STRONG DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Tennessee: No change. STRONG GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • Texas: No change. STRONG GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • Utah: No change. STRONG GOP LEAN/HOLD
  • Vermont: No change. STRONG DEM (SOCIALIST) LEAN/HOLD
  • Virginia: Virginia is looking like a lean blue state in November, so I’m moving this one down to a Dem hold. TOSSUP/HOLD
  • Washington: No change. MODERATE DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • West Virginia: No change.  STRONG DEM LEAN/HOLD
  • Wisconsin: Thompson looks to be getting stronger and Wisconsin is looking like a Romney state. Moving this up a little. MODERATE GOP LEAN/GOP PICKUP
  • Wyoming: No change. STRONG GOP LEAN/HOLD

Last week I had it at 52-47-1 (GOP/Dem/Independent King); this week we have it at: 52-47-1. Haha. Missouri goes blue, Connecticut goes red. Total wash.

Morning Dump, August 22nd

Happy Hump Day, readers! Let’s get right down to it…this week already feels like it is just swirling around the toilet bowl, eh?

World News

U.S. News

Akin Watch: Day 2

  • Cook Political Report moves MO Senate Race from “Tossup” to “Lean Democrat.” Yeesh
  • Sarah Palin (henceforth known as “The Boss” in this  blog) called on MO Republicans to start working on a write-in candidate in order to defeat McCaskill. Akin can still remove himself (through courts) by September 25th, so there’s a chance. MO has a “sore loser” law, meaning defeated candidates cannot run on another party in the General. So Steelman and Brunner cannot be run as write-ins, paving the way for one of the many qualified men and women to take his place. My favorite scenario: bait-and-switch, putting Ann Wagner on the Senate ticket and Akin back on his Congressional ticket. Wagner is an accomplished fundraiser with a sterling resume.
  • Eleven reasons Todd Akin didn’t quit.

Presidential/Electoral College update coming later today! Some changes in the works.

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